Early NFL lines like going from -3 to -4.5 can feel like solid info, but a lot...

https://varimail.com/articles/how-do-i-stop-treating-every-new-stat-like-gospel-in-september/

Early NFL lines like going from -3 to -4.5 can feel like solid info, but a lot of early moves are just noise or sharp money influencing public bets. Patience pays off—waiting for the close often means better prices and smarter decisions